Standardising fire risk measurement for local communities

National Fire Risk Atlas to improve risk intelligence

A new Fire Risk Atlas is currently under development to provide the first standardised framework for measuring fire risk in local communities across the United States.

The Fire Safety Research Institute (FSRI) at UL Research Institutes (ULRI) is leading the effort alongside the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s (FEMA) U.S. Fire Administration and the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s Science and Technology Directorate.

This project focuses on research regarding single-structure fire risk and structure-to-structure fire spread alongside wildland-urban interface vulnerability.

Decision-makers require reliable data to identify emerging threats and guide investments toward effective mitigation.

Local fire departments reported approximately 1.244 million fires in 2024 which resulted in more than 2,200 deaths and $144 billion in property loss.

Wildfires in 2025 consumed over 5.1 million acres and destroyed more than 18,000 structures.

The Southern California fires in January 2025 were recorded as being among the most costly fire incidents.

National spending currently remains focused on suppression and response rather than long-term prevention.

Integrating risk intelligence into NERIS

The analytical tools and measurements produced by this research will be integrated into the National Emergency Response Information System (NERIS).

NERIS is a platform used by nearly 30,000 fire departments nationwide to support real-time decision-making and the adoption of the latest fire science.

Rebecca Harned, Principal Research Scientist at UL Research Institutes | Fire Safety Research Institute, said: “Despite the increase in destructive fire incidents, resulting in billions of dollars in economic loss annually, we continue to struggle to measure and predict fire risk.

“Yet, accurate and precise risk intelligence is a critical ingredient for empowering communities to take responsibility and invest in prevention and mitigation efforts that make a difference.

“At ULRI, we’ve taken on this challenge by integrating fire behavior science with data science and economics to provide the actionable intelligence on fire risk our public leaders urgently need.”

Advancing wildfire risk modeling science

ULRI has launched the Wildfire Risk Modeling Exercise in 2026 to foster collaboration between over 40 partner organisations.

This convergent experiment aims to identify the strengths of existing models and determine how to ensemble them for greater precision.

The Exercise Planning – Conduct Team includes representatives from CAL FIRE and University of California San Diego’s Wildfire Science – Technology Commons.

Other members include the Gordon – Betty Moore Foundation, FireWERX, Google.org, and the U.S. Department of War’s Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program.

Public safety agencies will use these validated insights to anticipate threats and prioritise prevention strategies.

UL Research Institutes updates search and rescue training course

FRSI training course adds new tactical lessons

UL Research Institutes and its Fire Safety Research Institute (FSRI) have announced a new version of the free online training course Search and Rescue Tactics in Single-Family Single-Story Residential Structures on the Fire Safety Academy.

The updated training course reflects findings from full-scale burn experiments and adds three tactical considerations to the original Search & Rescue course.

One lesson covers simultaneous exterior and interior suppression operations when crews arrive to a fully developed fire with extension to the exterior and sufficient resources are available.

A second lesson covers local ventilation in compartments remote from the fire area, including pre suppression isolation of the compartment before ventilation.

A third lesson covers hydraulic ventilation immediately after suppression to increase the rate at which combustion gases exhaust from the structure.

New materials for officers and instructors

FSRI said the updated course also includes ready-to-use materials for training officers and instructors.

These include five scenario based drill sheets designed to reinforce decision making and coordination across search scenarios and victim removal.

The updated materials also include time-to-task sheets to track how long crews take to complete actions such as forcing entry, a single-room search and drag-and-carry.

Discussion guides have also been added to support post-drill or informal conversation intended to reinforce learning and improve retention.

Meghan Maloney, manager of education and training for the Fire Safety Research Institute, said: “The re-launch of this course builds on years of research and ongoing collaboration with the fire service to meet their training needs.

“On the fireground, every decision and every minute matters, and our free training helps firefighters at all levels be better prepared to make smarter, safer decisions that influence occupant survivability and firefighter safety.”

The course states that firefighters who complete it will learn how isolation and ventilation affect occupant survivability and firefighter safety, how the timing of suppression actions affects search and rescue operations, and how removal tactics and timing may influence survivability.

The Fire Safety Academy also provides free self-paced training on topics including fire dynamics, firefighting tactics, firefighter health, lithium-ion batteries and WUI fires.

The updated course adds new lessons and training materials to the existing search and rescue programme.

FSRI study expands search and rescue guidance for residential firefighting operations

Image Credit: FSRI

Search and rescue report adds three tactics

UL Research Institutes’ Fire Safety Research Institute (FSRI) has announced a new technical report in its Study of Fire Service Residential Home Size-up and Search & Rescue Operations project, adding three tactical considerations to previous findings.

FSRI said the report is based on new full-scale residential fire experiments examining how crews should coordinate search, suppression and ventilation.

The new material adds Tactical Considerations 10, 11 and 12 to the original nine tactical considerations from earlier reports.

The report states that, where resources are sufficient, crews arriving at a fully developed fire with extension to the exterior should consider simultaneous exterior and interior suppression operations.

It states that a well-applied exterior stream can produce rapid interior improvement and that coordination with interior suppression can improve conditions for occupants and firefighters.

The report also says compartments remote from the fire area should be locally ventilated as soon as possible, with pre-suppression isolation of the compartment before ventilation.

It adds that rooms farther from the fire are often where victims are found and that conditions in those spaces can keep deteriorating after the fire is controlled if they are left unattended.

Search and rescue experiments informed updated guidance

Keith Stakes, principal research engineer, said: “The release of this report is the result of our continued collaboration with the fire service to deliver real, actionable insights that the fire service can take back to the fireground.

“We take seriously our commitment to answering the urgent questions facing the fire service every shift, knowing that improved understanding and insights leads to safer operations and improved outcomes for victims.”

FSRI said the new tactical considerations came from 10 experiments in purpose-built, fully furnished, single-story, single-family structures designed to represent today’s residential environment.

The homes used in the experiments included four bedrooms, two bathrooms and an open kitchen and living area, as well as an HVAC system used to study smoke and heat movement.

Researchers collected measurements for gas temperatures and gas concentrations, along with gas velocities, pressure and heat fluxes in every room at multiple heights.

The structure, fuel loading and instrumentation remained consistent across burns, with tactical actions such as the timing and location of search, suppression and ventilation varied between experiments.

FSRI said the new tactical considerations will later this year be added to an updated version of the Search and Rescue Tactics in Single-Story, Single-Family Residential Structures online course on the Fire Safety Academy.

The future of fire service data: How FSRI rebuilt US incident reporting with NERIS

Dr Craig Weinschenk, Lead Engineer for NERIS at the Fire Safety Research Institute, discusses rebuilding the foundation of US emergency data management from the ground up

For nearly half a century, US fire departments have relied on the National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS) to record and share incident data.

But a framework designed for paper forms in the 1970s has struggled to keep pace with the demands of a connected, data-driven era.

Its manual processes, static structure and years-long data lag limited the fire service’s ability to analyse trends or act on emerging risks in real time.

The new National Emergency Response Information System (NERIS) aims to change that.

Developed by the Fire Safety Research Institute (FSRI) in partnership with the US Fire Administration and the Department of Homeland Security’s Office of Science and Technology, NERIS provides a cloud-based, geospatial and user-focused platform that captures and shares fire data almost instantly.

IFSJ Editor Iain Hoey sat down with Dr Craig Weinschenk, Lead Engineer on NERIS at FSRI, to learn how the system was built and what it could mean for the future of fire service data.

NFIRS served the fire service for nearly 50 years – what were its limitations, and why was a new approach required?

NFIRS was conceived in 1973 after the Fire Control Act and it started as paper forms, even carbon copy forms where you had three copies.

To make field reporting doable, “structure fire” became “111” because three numbers are easier to process than handwriting.

That served the field well for a long time, but you needed a big lookup table to know the codes.

When things started to digitise in the late 80s, early 90s into the 2000s, the approach was to digitise NFIRS.

It became a digital version of paper forms instead of taking advantage of advances in database technology.

Expectations for data expanded, but the system stayed tied to that older mindset.

It was not geospatial.

You filled out a complete address but there was no latitude and longitude in the payload, even though incidents all occur somewhere.

It was also very manual.

You completed the record locally, exported a text file, sent it to the state, then to the federal government.

Everyone processed plain text files that were emailed around.

That does not scale and it creates data lag.

When your environment changes in three-to-nine-month windows but the data lags 18 to 24 months, you miss chances to make real time impact because by the time it is aggregated you are looking too far in the past.

There were practical constraints too.

The hardware was old and the software was old, and you could not upgrade one without breaking the other.

If you tried to build an NFIRS 6.0 you were rebuilding the same system and moving one step forward.

The decision was to rebuild from the ground up, take lessons learned from geospatial needs and time lag, and put the fire service first on incident collection.

That is what we did with NERIS.

How did this public-private partnership work in practice, and why was it important?

We work hand in hand with the United States Fire Administration and with DHS S&T.

We have weekly stand-ups and the rigor you expect from a national project.

We produce documentation and artifacts, and we have oversight from security scans to operational performance metrics, all documented and shared with the federal government.

That oversight ensures we have no blind spots and keeps the project healthy.

As a nonprofit building this, we can also be nimble.

We are not owning local data or hosting on federal servers inside federal firewalls, which have limitations.

We can hire a dynamic team and move quickly while following standards and best practices.

We see ourselves as stewards of a national system by and for the local fire service, building to support USFA’s mission and DHS’s mission while putting the fire service first.

Data governance is foundational.

Local departments own their data.

They collect it and send it.

The value is in aggregating at local data  regionally statewide, and nationally, but the department still owns the record.

That principle is a critical piece that makes this work.

What is causation data and why does it matter for incident reporting and prevention?

In NFIRS the causation data was in the primary record.

That created a challenge.

Either the record stayed open while you waited for an independent investigator to provide answers, or people put something in just to close the record.

We decoupled the schemas.

We have a core schema that looks at general causality from a fire behaviour and safety perspective, not from criminality.

We are deliberate in our language so we can understand the incident from safety, response and frequency perspectives.

Then we have a follow-on called Incident Analysis.

The two are decoupled.

You can close the first part so we know the call happened and we can run metrics on demand, while the analysis can be completed 24 or 48 hours later when the right staff are available or when more time is needed to understand the incident.

That puts the right information in front of the right people at the right time, instead of forcing someone who may not be qualified to answer those questions.

How does the system balance the need for national-level analysis with the practical, day-to-day needs of local departments?

In addition to collection, we are building an analytics platform that runs as part of the system.

Every department gets an Insights tab with high level information about response.

Incidents appear on maps, colour coded by response duration so you can spot hotspots.

We are deploying a unit-level response dashboard to see metrics on particular units, frequency of units running together and distances travelled.

We also show things around casualties and rescues, so you can understand both loss and saves.

Data ladders up.

A state sees the same dashboards in aggregate.

They can view activity percentages, performance across the state and distributions of calls by discipline.

Because we built an API-based system instead of manual data movement, when a record shows up it is available to the local and to the state, and it is available to be pulled by the federal government into its infrastructure via secure API.

They keep a full copy and can run their analytics in real time.

We have cut lag from roughly 14 or 15 days from local to state, and 6, 12 or 18 months to federal, down to hours.

In practice we usually see records completed at the end of a shift, QA and QC over the next shift, then submission.

If you want to keep using your own tools, you can do that and still access your data via secure API.

Looking ahead, what do you see as the next steps for NERIS?

NFIRS sunsets on 31 December 2025.

Looking at 2026 there are two phases: take what we learned on onboarding and improve the system, schemas, questions and workflows.

Then focus on analytics.

Provide products that help departments do their job, identify gaps in response at hyper-local levels, and surface larger trends regionally, at state level and nationally.

The aim is to identify the next hazard and where to invest in research, because we are seeing data fast enough to act.

This was originally published in the January 2026 Edition of International Fire & Safety Journal. To read your FREE copy, click here.