Wildfires linked to long-term illness and indirect deaths in Maui and Los Angeles

Research identifies wider health toll from Maui and Los Angeles wildfires

AP News has reported that three new studies suggest the human health impact of the Maui and Los Angeles wildfires extends beyond direct fatalities.

The studies, published in American Medical Association journals, examined deaths and illness linked to the August 2023 Maui wildfire and the early 2025 Los Angeles wildfires.

According to the research, the Maui fire, which was directly blamed for more than 100 deaths, left one in five people with reduced lung function and close to half reporting symptoms of depression.

The Maui study also recorded a near doubling of suicide and overdose deaths during the month of the fire, compared to typical rates.

In Los Angeles County, modelling by researchers estimated more than 400 additional deaths linked to the fires due to healthcare disruption and other indirect causes.

Maui wildfire linked to long-term respiratory and mental health impacts

The first Maui study, co-led by Ruben Juarez of the University of Hawaii, assessed more than 1,100 adults between six and 14 months after the fire.

Juarez’s team found that 22% of those in areas with high smoke exposure had below-normal lung function compared to people in lower-exposure areas.

Juarez said: “It’s a stark reminder that wildfires can leave an invisible but lasting scar on respiratory health, long after the flames are gone.”

Kristie Ebi of the University of Washington said wildfire smoke can be more toxic than standard air pollution because it contains particles from burning buildings, fuel stations, asbestos materials and vehicles.

Ebi said the findings suggest that this toxicity is affecting people’s long-term lung function.

Study links Maui wildfire to spike in suicide and overdose deaths

A separate study led by Jonathan Purtle of New York University examined suicide and overdose death rates in Maui and four other Hawaiian counties.

Purtle’s team found a 97% increase in such deaths on Maui during the month of the wildfire, with most cases being suicides.

Across all five counties, rates rose by 46%, which the authors said may reflect displaced Maui residents moving to other islands.

Ebi described the Maui rate increase as “a significant increase”.

Researchers reported that the higher rates were temporary and declined in the months after the fires.

Los Angeles wildfire deaths may have been undercounted

The third study, led by Finnish researchers, used statistical modelling to examine mortality during the Los Angeles wildfires between January 5 and February 1, 2025.

They estimated that there were 440 more deaths in Los Angeles County during this period than expected under normal conditions.

The authors attributed these deaths to indirect consequences of the fires, including interruptions in healthcare and other essential services.

At least 30 direct fatalities were already recorded from the Los Angeles wildfires.

Expert perspectives on wildfire health research

Dr Jonathan Patz of the University of Wisconsin, who was not involved in the studies, said: “This adds a really important piece to the understanding of the true health risks from these extreme climatic events.”

Patz said the work “hones in” on the specific impacts of individual fires rather than generalised climate event trends.

Ebi said that wildfire smoke composition requires closer examination in future studies to assess the full range of health consequences.

She noted that further research is needed to clarify the exact smoke exposure levels for individuals in affected areas.

Relevance for fire and safety professionals

For fire and safety professionals, the findings underline the importance of recognising indirect and long-term health impacts from wildfire events.

They indicate that operational planning may need to include public health monitoring and post-incident support in addition to immediate firefighting measures.

The research also highlights the value of coordination between emergency services, healthcare providers and community organisations to mitigate indirect fatalities.

Public education on smoke toxicity and the potential for long-term respiratory effects could also inform response strategies and recovery planning.

Wildfires linked to long-term illness and indirect deaths in Maui and Los Angeles: Summary

Three studies published in American Medical Association journals examined health impacts from the 2023 Maui wildfire and the 2025 Los Angeles wildfires.

The Maui wildfire was directly linked to more than 100 deaths.

Researchers found 22% of people in high smoke exposure areas had reduced lung function.

Almost half of respondents reported symptoms of depression.

Suicide and overdose deaths on Maui doubled during the month of the wildfire.

Across Hawaii’s five counties, rates of suicide and overdose deaths increased by 46%.

Rates returned to normal in subsequent months.

The Los Angeles wildfires were directly linked to at least 30 deaths.

Researchers estimated an additional 440 deaths in Los Angeles County due to indirect effects such as disrupted healthcare.

Experts said the studies add to the understanding of long-term and indirect health risks from wildfires.

Understanding the implications of the 2023 Maui fire reports

The initial findings from the Maui fire investigation

More than six months following the catastrophic wildfire in Maui, which claimed 101 lives and devastated the historic town of Lahaina, the mystery of what precisely went awry remains.

This week, however, two significant reports were released, providing new insights into the event and suggestions for future safety improvements.

Hawaii Attorney General Anne Lopez unveiled a comprehensive timeline on Wednesday detailing the events of August 8, 2023.

This report marks the first segment of an ongoing three-part investigation by the Fire Safety Research Institute (FSRI), with further insights expected in the upcoming months.

On the preceding day, the Maui Fire Department published a report by the Western Fire Chiefs Association, outlining the operational challenges faced during the disaster and proposing over 100 recommendations for enhancement.

Communication breakdown during the emergency

A pivotal factor highlighted in the FSRI report is the confusion surrounding the deactivation of power lines, which exacerbated the initial fires.

Miscommunications among fire crews, police, and Hawaiian Electric played a critical role as the situation deteriorated.

The communication systems used by different emergency services failed to integrate, leading to a lack of cohesive response information and overwhelming the dispatchers who struggled with multiple communication channels simultaneously.

This breakdown was not limited to emergency services; residents and tourists found themselves cut off from emergency alerts and communication with loved ones, further complicating evacuation efforts.

The report also noted the absence of Maui Emergency Management Agency head Herman Andaya, who was off-island at the time, which might have delayed decisive action.

Escalation and response challenges

The reports describe a rapidly escalating situation, with initial fires thought to be contained re-igniting and spreading through Lahaina driven by strong winds and dry conditions.

Emergency responders faced blocked roads and zero visibility, making evacuation efforts nearly impossible in some areas.

Resources were severely stretched, with many fire crews already deployed elsewhere on the island.

This delay in response was compounded by a lack of mutual aid agreements and preparedness for non-English speaking tourists and residents, highlighting significant gaps in emergency planning.

Looking forward to more insights and solutions

FSRI is continuing its efforts to gather critical data from the Maui Emergency Management Agency, despite facing challenges in obtaining all necessary records.

Derek Alkonis, the research program manager, expressed the difficulties encountered but remained focused on addressing these issues in subsequent reports.

In the coming months, the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives is also expected to release their findings on the origin and cause of the fire, which will likely contribute further to understanding and preventing future disasters of this magnitude.

Department of the Attorney General sets release date for Maui wildfire investigation report

Maui wildfire report release announced for April 17, 2024

The Department of the Attorney General has confirmed that the Phase One report of the independent investigation into the Maui wildfires will be available on April 17, 2024.

The announcement was made by Attorney General Anne Lopez, emphasizing the report’s focus on the initial 24 to 72 hours of the wildfire incident and its aftermath.

The investigation, supported by the Fire Safety Research Institute (FSRI), aims to provide a science-based analysis of the events and recommend future safety measures.

Delays in data collection lead to report rescheduling

The FSRI team, recognized globally for its expertise in fire safety science, faced unexpected challenges in collecting the necessary data, leading to a delay in the report’s release.

This postponement follows the Department’s issuance of subpoenas to various Maui County agencies to secure relevant documents and interviews, highlighting the comprehensive nature of the investigation.

Legal challenges and community cooperation

In response to the investigation’s demands, the County of Maui required subpoenas for all further information, resulting in a significant increase in subpoenas issued by the Department.

Despite these legal complexities, Steve Kerber, PhD, PE, Vice President and Executive Director of FSRI, acknowledged the community’s support in sharing experiences and information, crucial for the investigation’s thoroughness.

Anticipation for the report and its impact on Hawaii’s safety

Attorney General Lopez stressed the importance of a meticulous investigation to ensure accuracy and comprehensiveness.

She expressed confidence that the Phase One report would begin to answer the community’s questions about the tragic wildfire.

IFSJ Comment

The Department of the Attorney General’s announcement of the Maui wildfire report’s release date marks a critical step in understanding the devastating event and forging pathways to a safer Hawaii.

This investigation exemplifies the intricate balance between the need for swift answers and the necessity for detailed, scientific analysis.

Maui fires investigation: Fire Safety Research Institute appointed by Attorney General Lopez

In a recent announcement, Hawaiʻi Attorney General Anne E. Lopez disclosed her choice for a comprehensive probe into the Maui wildfires.

FSRI to evaluate state and county preparedness for Maui fires

The Fire Safety Research Institute (FSRI), a leading nonprofit research body, will assess state and county agency strategies and response to the Maui wildfires.

These catastrophic fires led to a tragic loss of life and caused damages approximating $5.5 billion.

Attorney General seeks clarity and accountability

Attorney General Lopez stated: “I am committed to an independent, unbiased, and transparent investigation into government actions during the fires.”

Her commitment aims to renew the public’s faith in the government, especially after this devastating event.

In a reassuring tone, she added: “We can improve our responsiveness and resilience. Once the FSRI investigation is completed, our next step is to take decisive action.”

The investigation will scrutinise government agency actions during the initial 24 to 72 hours of the fire outbreak.

Lopez intends to keep the Hawaiʻi community updated at the conclusion of each investigation phase and once the final report is ready in late 2024.

FSRI’s three-phase investigation

Dr. Steve Kerber, FSRI vice president and executive director, expressed FSRI’s empathy with the Maui community.

His team aims to offer an evidence-based understanding of the incident to prevent future recurrences.

This investigation, which will closely involve local emergency services and federal, state, and local organisations, will span three phases:

  1. Fact-finding on Maui fires’ progression: This initial phase, estimated to last three months, focuses on gathering data to construct a comprehensive incident timeline.
  2. Data analysis and agency response: In approximately six months, this phase aims to evaluate the functioning of various fire protection systems during the Maui fires.
  3. Future prevention strategies: The final phase will offer insight into preventing such disasters in the future, producing a Forward-Looking Report after approximately 12 months.

“The FSRI investigation and what we learn from science and sound investigative practices will result in a set of concrete policy recommendations that will help ensure a safer, more prepared Hawaiʻi,” added Attorney General Lopez.

IFSJ Comment

The selection of the Fire Safety Research Institute by Attorney General Lopez to investigate the Maui fires holds significant implications for the global fire and safety community.

The scale of the Maui wildfires, both in terms of human tragedy and financial costs, underscores the urgent need for rigorous, evidence-based investigations.

The three-phase approach proposed by FSRI, particularly its emphasis on producing actionable, forward-looking recommendations, has the potential to greatly influence fire preparedness and response strategies not just in Hawaiʻi but around the world.

Collaborative efforts between government bodies and research institutes, as seen here, might very well set the gold standard for addressing future fire-related challenges.