EASAC calls for proactive EU wildfire policy shift as climate risk increases

EU wildfire risk increasing, warns scientific council

The European Academies Science Advisory Council (EASAC) has called for a major overhaul of EU wildfire policy, urging a transition from reactive firefighting to proactive risk-based land management.

According to EASAC’s new report, “Changing Wildfires – Policy Options for a Fire-literate and Fire-adapted Europe,” the probability of extreme wildfires is rising sharply due to climate change, land abandonment, and prolonged droughts.

EASAC Environment Director Professor Thomas Elmqvist said: “Many parts of Europe are facing a large increase in multi-year droughts, leading to an increased probability of extreme fires. Some areas are likely to experience severe events every two years.”

Landscape change and fire suppression policies under scrutiny

The EASAC report highlights how rural depopulation and unmanaged vegetation have increased fuel availability in many regions.

This has made landscapes more vulnerable to large fires, particularly as summer rainfall declines.

The council stated that half a million hectares burn annually across the EU – an area nearly twice the size of Luxembourg.

It warned that current fire suppression strategies are no longer adequate.

Co-Chair of the Wildfires Working Group Dr Cathelijne Stoof said: “Suppressing fires alone is not enough.

“We need to address root causes, better fight climate change, invest in resilient landscapes, and engage society in living with fire.”

Calls for new EU-wide governance and fire literacy

EASAC’s report recommends creating an integrated EU governance framework to manage fire risk.

This would include coordinated land use planning, resource-sharing, and public education programmes.

The council has urged member states to promote “fire literacy” through education, particularly among young people, and to support community engagement in adapting to wildfire risks.

Elmqvist added: “Europe will increasingly have to learn to live with fire and adapt society to a new challenging reality.”

Policy options include nature-based solutions and land management

The report sets out eight recommendations, including greater investment in fuel management, prescribed burning, sustainable grazing, and support for private landowners to adopt fire-resilient practices.

EASAC also advocated for aligning fire risk reduction with biodiversity and tree-planting plans.

It emphasised the need to prevent unintentionally increasing vulnerability during reforestation efforts.

Dr Orsolya Valkó, Co-Chair of the Wildfires Working Group, said: “The changing fire regime with larger, more intense blazes is driven not only by weather, but also by structural socio-ecological shifts.

“Many new areas, such as Central Europe and rapidly warming mountainous areas, will probably be exposed to severe fire weather.”

EASAC calls for proactive EU wildfire policy shift as climate risk increases: Summary

The European Academies Science Advisory Council (EASAC) has published a new report warning of increasing wildfire risk in Europe.

The report is titled “Changing Wildfires – Policy Options for a Fire-literate and Fire-adapted Europe.”

EASAC said that climate change, land-use shifts and rural depopulation are making wildfires more likely.

It found that current EU fire suppression policies are not sufficient to manage the growing threat.

The report calls for a transition to risk-based land management and integrated EU-wide governance.

It recommends fire prevention, fuel management, education and nature-based land restoration.

Three key messages and eight policy recommendations are included in the report.

The findings were presented at a launch event on 19 May 2025 in Brussels.

Speakers included scientists, EU policymakers and representatives from fire management bodies.

EASAC said education and communication will be central to achieving a fire-resilient society.

SHIELD backed by University of Strathclyde

The University of Strathclyde is encouraging ship operators, safety professionals and accident investigators to use the Safety Human Incident & Error Learning Database (SHIELD) to better understand the underlying root cause of human-factor related issues in maritime incidents.

SHIELD, developed by a consortium of partners across the aviation and maritime spheres as part of the European Union’s SAFEMODE project, was launched in 2022 and is now being used by major cruise lines, a UK-based ferry operator, safety agencies in Europe and Asia and a number of accident investigation boards.

University of Strathclyde Maritime Human Factors Centre, Head, Dr Rafet Emek Kurt’s statement

Dr Rafet Emek Kurt, the Head of the University’s Maritime Human Factors Centre spoke on his belief that more data is required if SHIELD is to have a material benefit on future maritime safety and policy.

Dr Kurt said: “Human factors have long been recognized as a critical element in shipping safety, yet whenever there is an accident, in reaction to the lessons learnt we continue to overload the seafarer with more safety procedures, more checklists, more training.

“This is largely ineffective in reducing human factor incidents and increases the cognitive load on the seafarer. We need to address the root cause of an accident to have any meaningful impact.”

Kurt said that the SHIELD platform provides invaluable feedback to shipmanagers, policymakers, accident investigators and ship and system builders to better quantify the human components in safety risk models, resulting in positive changes in ship design, operations and rules.

“So far, in the absence of high-quality data, the maritime sector has failed to include human factor considerations in critical decision making. As a result, envisaged safety improvements from the sector have been ineffective, with accidents continuing to occur at a steady rate after.”

SHIELD’S impact

Dr Kurt emphasised that through industry-wide collaboration and use of SHIELD, stakeholders can better understand underlying human factor contributors. The data can also serve to develop new accident and risk models as well as tailor research to address any shortcomings.

The SHIELD taxonomy assesses input data against a range of extenuating factors affecting human performance, such as workload, situation awareness, stress and fatigue, human system interfaces, and teamwork.

But, it goes further by providing insight into how organisational and leadership structures, strategies, cultures and socioeconomics play a part.

“SHIELD represents a paradigm shift in how the shipping industry approaches safety,” said Kurt. “By empowering shipowners to deeply analyse their accident data, we can move beyond the traditional ‘human error’ narrative and uncover the true drivers of incidents. This knowledge is invaluable in creating a safer, more efficient, and more sustainable maritime sector.”

The University of Strathclyde support use of SHIELD: Summary

Dr Rafet Emek Kurt, the Head of the University’s Maritime Human Factors Centre has voiced support for the Safety Human Incident & Error Learning Database (SHIELD).

Dr Kurt said SHIELD represents a paradigm shift in how the shipping industry approaches safety.