A practical guide to lithium-ion battery risk at MRFs with Ryan Fogelman

By Ryan Fogelman, Fire Protection Consultant, Fire Rover

The waste and recycling industry has reached a critical inflection point when it comes to lithium-ion battery fires.

For years, operators, firefighters, insurers and municipalities have grappled with a problem that continues to grow faster than our collective ability to manage it.

That’s why the “Guide for Developing Lithium-Ion Battery Management Practices at Materials Recovery Facilities,” jointly published by the National Waste & Recycling Association (NWRA), the Recycled Materials Association (ReMA) and the Solid Waste Association of North America (SWANA), represents an important and timely step forward.

What the guide recognises

The guide acknowledges a reality many of us in fire protection have been documenting for nearly a decade.

Lithium-ion batteries, particularly those embedded in everyday consumer products, are now the leading cause of fires at waste and recycling facilities across North America.

From phones and power tools to e-bikes and disposable vapes, these batteries are entering waste and recycling streams in unprecedented volumes, often damaged, hidden and highly unstable.

I’m humbled by the recognition in the guide, particularly in connection with the fire incident data I’ve been compiling and publishing annually since 2016.

What 2025 data shows

If you read my reports, you already know that this year was the worst on record for publicly reported fires since I began consolidating and sharing the data in 2016.

We finished the year with 448 publicly reported waste and recycling facility fires in the U.S. and Canada.

That total is more than last year’s record of 430 fire incidents.

That total is nearly 25% above the annual average of 360 fire incidents.

While data alone doesn’t solve the problem, it plays a critical role in validating what operators and first responders experience on the frontlines every day.

The guide’s inclusion of this information signals an important shift.

Industry associations are now aligning around the fact that lithium-ion battery fires aren’t isolated events or operator failures.

They are a systemic risk tied to product design, consumer behavior and inadequate end-of-life pathways.

What the guide recommends for MRFs

The guide doesn’t pretend there is a single solution, nor does it place unrealistic expectations on facility operators.

Instead, it focuses on risk reduction, not risk elimination.

The more layers of protection you have, the lower the chance that fire can slip through the cracks and grow out of control.

As the guidance states, operators should focus on the following key areas.

  • Early identification and isolation practices for suspect batteries.
  • Employee training that emphasises recognition and response rather than blame.
  • Safe storage and handling protocols designed to limit collateral damage and contamination.
  • Emergency response planning that accounts for the unique behavior of lithium-ion fires.
  • Public education and customer messaging that acknowledges that upstream behavior matters.

Why frontline expectations need to change

The overlying fact remains that our waste and recycling employees should not be the front-line response team unless they are fully and properly trained and equipped with the right tool belt for the job.

This is why our Fire Rover solution is so effective.

It provides the earliest confirmed detection possible, and our agents manage the first six to 10 minutes of an incident, bringing order to the chaos and providing critical communications to operators and fire professionals.

The vape effect in real-world operations

In reality, waste and recycling facilities are being asked to manage a fire risk created largely outside their control.

Disposable vaping devices are a prime example.

These products combine lithium-ion batteries, thin casings and widespread improper disposal, making them uniquely dangerous once they enter processing equipment.

Data drawn from publicly reported fires at waste and recycling facilities consistently shows a troubling upward trend that I’ve identified as the vape effect.

In a nutshell, we’ve seen reported incidents increase about 26% from 2022 to 2025 compared to the average from 2016 to 2021.

I believe this vape effect is driven largely by the lack of safe, convenient drop-off locations for post-consumer electronics such as vaping devices.

Notably, in the US and Canada, this increase would be much higher if a significant number of facilities weren’t protected by Fire Rover.

What the guide signals for the sector

The release of this guide by the NWRA, the ReMA and the SWANA sends a clear message.

The industry is no longer treating lithium-ion battery fires as an operational nuisance.

It’s recognising them as a defining safety challenge of our time, and these associations are now being called on to create a proven and practical strategy for their members to learn from and best practices to follow.

From my perspective, this guide is best viewed as a foundation, not a finish line.

It equips facilities with tools they need today while reinforcing the case for broader systemic change tomorrow.

Fire risk in the waste and recycling sector will not be solved by education, technology, regulation or operators alone.

It will be solved when data, policy, product design and on-the-ground fire protection strategies finally move in the same direction.

This guide is an important step toward that alignment, and one the industry has needed for a long time.

What needs to happen next

The guide rightly calls for collaboration, but the next phase must include direct accountability and participation from battery, consumer electronics and tobacco manufacturers to help fund solutions.

Product design changes, battery removability, takeback programs and funding for public collection infrastructure aren’t optional if we expect meaningful reductions in fire incidents.

Fire Rover performance update

At Fire Rover, we continue to do our part.

We finished the year protecting more than 850 facilities.

Over the past 10 years, our system has only been overpowered twice while delivering results that were previously unheard of in the fire protection space.

The reality is that many suppliers are talking a lot and selling solutions, whether DIY approaches or other technologies, that may appear to address the problem on the surface.

Buyer beware.

There’s a reason Fire Rover is the only FM Approved smart monitor in the world, and that comes from experience, not arrogance.

Where Fire Rover started for me

I’m blessed that in 2015, Brad Gladstone and his partners, Jeremy and Pete, invented Fire Rover and that I was able to witness the first box demonstrated in the back of a scrap metal yard in my hometown of Detroit.

As with any company starting out, some people believed in us and some didn’t, but we’ve since proved to our loyal customers, insurance partners and thousands of fire professionals that our solution does what we said it would do.

In the early years, some assumed our solution was off the shelf and their best route was to try and build their own in-house solution.

Even if you can, that doesn’t mean you should.

Cost, insurance and real-world reliability

The cost of our system is largely offset by insurance savings as it helps mitigate the risk of a major or catastrophic loss by more than 99%.

For most of our systems, the cost is roughly equivalent to half of a full-time employee.

Insurance companies have been learning the hard way that all solutions are not created equal.

Many of these systems have been turned off, especially during the day, or pulled out leaving a trail of wasted dollars, time and effort.

I’ve seen many systems look pretty in the brochure but fail when it comes to real-world deployment.

Our systems are battle-tested, and we install them, maintain them and warranty all the components.

We’ve never had a false discharge, and our systems use an average of less than 500 gallons of suppressing agent or water per event.

Conclusion

It feels like tax season again.

Another year is complete, and another set of data is ready to be added to my annual report.

Last year’s report, “We Are at War: The 8th Annual Waste & Recycling Facility Fires Report in the US & CAN,” is being updated to include 2025 data and analysis.

I’m calling this report, “Fortifying the Front Lines.”

Across the U.S., Canada, France, Australia and now the United Kingdom and New Zealand, operators are making the investments needed to get a handle on the battery-related fire risk, a challenge sure to haunt us for many years to come.

To be clear, this investment is a layered approach that combines public education, policies to expand local and safe battery drop-off locations, efforts to make batteries removable from devices, operational best practices and continued investment in technologies.

Speaking of public education, I’m proud to announce that we’re making progress on a children’s book about lithium-ion battery safety, which we’re currently writing with the help of Dalan Zartman of the Energy Security Agency (ESA).

The book will include a children’s story and parent and teacher facts provided by the SWANA, the NWRA, the ESA and several other organisations.

Individuals and organisations can make a donation to provide copies of this book to classrooms across the U.S. and Canada through The Recycling Society.

If you’re interested in sponsoring a school or school district, feel free to reach out, and I will point you in the right direction.

As Fire Rover heads into its 11th year, the fire problem continues to grow.

Despite this, I truly believe we’re beginning to get a handle on this massive challenge that affects waste and recycling operators and the public at large.

I hope to have better news to share over the next 12 months.

Our waste and recycling operators perform a critical service for society, and we cannot afford for this risk to continue without an all hands on deck approach from all sides.

About the author

Ryan Fogelman, J.D., MBA, is a fire protection consultant with Fire Rover, known for his expertise in bringing innovative safety solutions to market.

His contributions to the field have earned him recognition as one of the Top 20 Global Fire Influencers by the International Fire Safety Journal in 2024 and 2025.

His products have been recognised with two Edison Innovation Awards for Industrial Safety and Consumer Products.

Since February 2016, he has focused on compiling and publishing reports on fires at waste and recycling facilities in the U.S. and Canada, analysing their impacts, solutions and consequences.

His latest report is titled “We Are at War: The 8th Annual Waste & Recycling Facility Fires Report in the US & CAN.”

He has been a member of the NFPA 401 Hazardous Materials Committee since 2019 and contributed to the NFPA 18A special task force for wetting agents in 2025.

For more information or to connect with Ryan Fogelman, you can reach him via email at rfogelman@firerover.com.

Why the vape effect matters: A plea to the tobacco industry from Fire Rover’s Ryan Fogelman

Vapes, weather and waste fire trends, by Ryan Fogelman

As we approach the end of the year, the waste and recycling industry is on track to reach a record number of publicly reported facility fire incidents in the US and Canada.

Much of the increase is driven by improperly discarded lithium ion batteries, including the rapid rise of disposable vapes that continue to enter waste streams in huge volumes.

In this month’s report, I share November’s fire data, explain the scale of the vape effect and outline the key points from my open letter to the tobacco industry urging collaboration on solutions the waste and recycling sector cannot deliver alone.

November 2025 fire data

We started 2025 on the wrong note by setting concerning records that marked the worst start to a year since I began tracking publicly reported waste and recycling facility fires in 2016.

July’s 56 reported incidents were the highest number ever recorded for that month and the highest single month total in the past decade.

August followed with 49 incidents and September reached 45.

In October there were 48 publicly reported incidents, outpacing the previous record year of 2022 by ten incidents at that stage in the calendar.

In November we had 27 fires, which was not a record but was only one incident below our highest November in 2020.

Scrap metal recycling yards fell behind waste, paper and plastic facilities with nine incidents, while waste, paper and plastic facilities recorded 13.

Organics management, rubber, construction and demolition and chemical or hazmat facilities each recorded one incident.

Year to date, scrap metal yard fires are still around 30 percent of all publicly reported incidents, which is in line with the long term pattern.

Based on current totals, I would be shocked if we did not end 2025 with the highest number of fire events ever recorded.

Even applying a simple December average would put the total at more than 440 incidents.

Unless December is unusually low, 2025 will be the worst year for publicly reported incidents since I began tracking in 2016.

What Fire Rover data shows

Fire Rover is seeing similar incident patterns.

Through September we responded to more than 3,000 confirmed fire events at client facilities and successfully responded to and suppressed 383 using our patented FM approved smart monitoring solution.

Like the publicly reported data, our incident volumes slowed entering the last two months of the year.

Once the year closes, I will release our full performance dashboard for 2022 to 2025.

At RCon I joined Alex Finkelstein of Teledyne FLIR for a discussion on how Fire Rover’s solution helps protect facilities from lithium ion battery hazards in critical infrastructure.

We took a deep dive into early detection and remote operated smart monitoring solutions and how our partnership led to the first FM approved remote operated fire protection system.

Although lithium ion batteries are a major contributor to increased incidents, I have also found that increased heat and dryness across the US and Canada remain significant factors for waste and recycling operations.

I will analyse weather correlations in my 2025 annual report, publishing in March 2026.

The vape effect

In my research I have identified what I call the vape effect.

The US and Canada have seen a 26 percent increase in the average number of facility fire events from 2022 to 2025 compared with the previous six years.

That figure does not include the 7 to 10 percent of facilities protected by Fire Rover, but if those were included I believe the increase would be closer to 40 percent.

The rapid shift from traditional cigarettes to vapes is a major contributor.

There were approximately 6 million new vape users from 2022 to 2024.

Many vapes are marketed as daily disposables and contain lithium ion batteries that must be handled as hazardous products.

We are lacking safe and convenient drop off locations, which means these devices often end up in waste streams where they can be crushed or punctured.

My estimate of 48 million vapes per week entering waste and recycling streams is likely conservative.

Biffa sorted 840,000 vapes in four months at only four locations, averaging 7,000 per day.

Extrapolated across an estimated 10,000 waste and recycling facilities in the US, the total would exceed 70 million vapes improperly discarded every day.

Regardless of whether the real number is 48 million per week or far higher, the scale is staggering.

Battery manufacturers are contributing through voluntary programmes and extended producer responsibility legislation, but the current level of funding and infrastructure is not enough.

Tobacco manufacturers need a seat at the table to address the device design issues that drive so many of these problems.

What I said in my open letter to the tobacco industry

In November I wrote an open letter to executives in the American tobacco industry addressing the growing number of facility fires linked to discarded vaping devices.

In the letter I explained that my data highlights a clear and concerning rise in fires linked to vapes and that this trend poses safety risks to workers and the public as well as financial and environmental harm.

I made it clear that I was not blaming the tobacco industry or suggesting wrongdoing.

Instead I asked for collaboration on reasonable and achievable solutions that can reduce needless losses and injuries.

I explained that the waste and recycling industry cannot solve this problem alone and that tobacco manufacturers can play an important role in several areas.

I outlined the need for public awareness campaigns to inform consumers about proper disposal.

I called for product design changes to allow easy removal of batteries so that they can be safely recycled instead of entering waste streams.

I highlighted the importance of convenient local drop off locations for used vapes.

I emphasised the value of joint research and data sharing to deepen understanding of the problem and support practical solutions.

I explained that lithium ion batteries in vapes are causing billions of devices to enter waste facilities and that major fires linked to these batteries result in an estimated 1.2 billion dollars in damages annually.

I stressed that without the involvement of tobacco manufacturers, the problem will continue to escalate.

I closed by expressing confidence that collaboration between our industries can advance safety and sustainability.

Partnerships and next steps

I am pleased to announce a new partnership between Fire Rover and the Solid Waste Association of North America.

The goal is to provide resources that help waste operators understand and mitigate risks by expanding access to safe and convenient disposal in more communities.

We are also launching the first Anonymous Incident Database for reporting these hazards.

When combined with videos shared by customers, this database will be valuable to insurers, fire professionals and facility operators working to mitigate risk.

As we head into 2026, education, operational best practices and technologies like Fire Rover are working to reduce the risks of major or catastrophic losses across critical waste and recycling infrastructure.

Buyers should be careful.

Early detection and automated solutions are not Fire Rover.

There is no substitute for trained human operators and a comprehensive fire protection strategy that works every hour of every day.

About the author

Ryan Fogelman, J.D., MBA, is a fire protection consultant with Fire Rover known for his expertise in bringing innovative safety solutions to market.

Since 2016 he has published reports on fires at waste and recycling facilities in the US and Canada.

He is a member of the NFPA 401 Hazardous Materials Committee and contributed to the NFPA 18A task force for wetting agents in 2025.

He has been recognised as one of the Top Fire Influencers by Fire and Safety Journal Americas.